러시아ㆍ유라시아

Economic activity remains strong but moderating as transitory trade, remittances, and capital flows peter out. The outlook is positive, with growth expected to reach 6.0 percent in 2024 and to converge gradually to its long-term rate. Inflation has picked up very slowly and is expected to remain below the CBA’s inflation target in the short term, weighed down by low food and energy inflation, dram appreciation, and the lagged effect of tight monetary policy. Geopolitical tensions, a slowdown in main trading partners, and a possible reversal of capital flows remain the main risks to the outlook.